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Bonn Predictions & Picks — July 29, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 29, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Wednesday's card at Bonn, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex Barrena against Jan Choinski in the round of 16. Our calls: Choinski over Barrena. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Alex Barrena vs. Jan Choinski

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alex Barrena goes up against Jan Choinski in the Bonn round of 16. Jan Choinski is 7-3 across recent matches. Alex Barrena limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Choinski has been winning 69.5% of first-serve points to Barrena's 63.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Barrena comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Choinski win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Pick: Choinski

Win probability: 78% Choinski · Sets: 2 (59%) · most likely score 2-0 (47%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Jan Choinski at 78% before the match, and Jan Choinski won 6-3 6-2.

Updated Jul 28, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.