3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Liberec, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Petr Brunclik against Sumit Nagal in the round of 16. Our calls: Brunclik over Nagal, Silva over Kicker, Schwaerzler over Krumich. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
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Joel Schwaerzler and Martin Krumich meet in the round of 16 at Liberec on Wednesday. Joel Schwaerzler has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Martin Krumich limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Schwaerzler comes in off a compressed schedule; Krumich comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Schwaerzler.
Pick: Schwaerzler
Win probability: 64% Schwaerzler · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)
Wednesday's Liberec round of 16 pits Petr Brunclik against Sumit Nagal on clay. Petr Brunclik comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Sumit Nagal comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Brunclik's 71.3% behind the first serve (against 61.8% for Nagal) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Brunclik comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Brunclik gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Brunclik
Win probability: 57% Brunclik · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
Frederico Ferreira Silva and Nicolas Kicker meet in the round of 16 at Liberec on Wednesday. Frederico Ferreira Silva comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Nicolas Kicker comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Silva comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Silva is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Silva
Win probability: 51% Silva · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (27%)