2 matches are on Wednesday's card at San Marino, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Hugo Dellien against Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the round of 16. Our calls: Dellien over Angelo, Cecchinato over Muller. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Hugo Dellien goes up against Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the San Marino round of 16. Hugo Dellien has won 8 of the last 10. Juan Carlos Prado Angelo comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Hugo Dellien is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Dellien around 62%. Dellien should have enough here, though Angelo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Dellien
Win probability: 62% Dellien · Sets: 2 (58%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Wednesday's San Marino round of 16 pits Alexandre Muller against Marco Cecchinato on clay. Marco Cecchinato comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Alexandre Muller comes in at 1 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Cecchinato fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Cecchinato
Win probability: 59% Cecchinato · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (37%)