One match is on Saturday's card at Liberec, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gonzalo Bueno against Norbert Gombos in the semifinal. Our calls: Gombos over Bueno.
The boldest call on the card: Gombos over Bueno — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: GombosUpset call
Upset call: the market favors Bueno; our numbers say Gombos.
Win probability: 53% Gombos · Sets: 3 (52%) · most likely score 2-1 (28%)
Gonzalo Bueno and Norbert Gombos meet in the semifinal at Liberec on Saturday. Norbert Gombos has won 3 in a row and 4 of the last 10 overall. Gonzalo Bueno has won 5 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Gombos has been winning 69.3% of first-serve points to Bueno's 61.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Gombos arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Gombos gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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