Washington & Los Cabos predictions, August 1, 2026: Nakashima vs. Fritz, Shnaider vs. Pegula

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Brandon Nakashima goes up against Taylor Fritz in the Washington semifinal. Taylor Fritz is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Brandon Nakashima brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fritz fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Diana Shnaider goes up against Jessica Pegula in the Washington semifinal. Jessica Pegula is 8-2 across recent matches. Diana Shnaider has won 6 of the last 10.

Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 68%. The edge belongs to Pegula — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Ben Shelton in the Washington quarterfinal. Ben Shelton comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo is 4-6 across recent matches.

Shelton's 74.5% behind the first serve (against 71.1% for Tabilo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shelton.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Cameron Norrie goes up against Denis Shapovalov in the Los Cabos semifinal. Cameron Norrie has won 4 of the last 10. Denis Shapovalov has won 5 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Norrie gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Alexandra Eala and Naomi Osaka meet in the semifinal at Washington on Saturday. Naomi Osaka has won 9 of the last 10. Alexandra Eala comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Osaka's 71.1% behind the first serve (against 60.3% for Eala) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule; Osaka comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Osaka — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Arthur Gea and Coleman Wong meet in the semifinal at Los Cabos on Saturday. Coleman Wong has won 6 of the last 10. Arthur Gea is 8-2 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Wong has been winning 73.6% of first-serve points to Gea's 67.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Wong fractionally more likely to land the big points.