San Marino Predictions & Picks — August 1, 2026

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Juan Pablo Varillas goes up against Mili Poljicak in the San Marino semifinal. Mili Poljicak has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Juan Pablo Varillas is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Varillas comes in off a compressed schedule; Poljicak comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Poljicak fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Saturday's San Marino semifinal pits Facundo Diaz Acosta against Vilius Gaubas on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Vilius Gaubas has won 3 in a row and 4 of the last 10 overall.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Facundo Diaz Acosta simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Acosta comes in off a compressed schedule; Gaubas comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Acosta.