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Montreal Predictions & Picks — August 12, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 12, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Wednesday's card at Montreal, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Brandon Nakashima against Rafael Jodar in the semifinal. Our calls: Jodar over Nakashima.

Brandon Nakashima vs. Rafael Jodar

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Rafael Jodar; Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Jodar

Win probability: 58% Jodar · Market: -196 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

Brandon Nakashima and Rafael Jodar meet in the semifinal at Montreal on Wednesday. Rafael Jodar has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Brandon Nakashima has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Nakashima comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

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Updated Aug 12, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.