3 matches are on Thursday's card at Hamburg, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Andrej Nedic against Carlos Taberner in the round of 16. Our calls: Taberner over Nedic, Dodig over Molleker, Rehberg over Purtseladze.
Pick: Taberner
Win probability: 61% Taberner · Market: -105 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
Thursday's Hamburg round of 16 pits Andrej Nedic against Carlos Taberner on clay. Carlos Taberner comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Andrej Nedic is 4-6 across recent matches.
Carlos Taberner simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Taberner.
Pick: Dodig
Win probability: 65% Dodig · Market: -202 · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
Matej Dodig and Rudolf Molleker meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Thursday. Matej Dodig is 6-4 across recent matches. Rudolf Molleker is 5-5 across recent matches.
Matej Dodig simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Dodig should have enough here, though Molleker has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Rehberg
Win probability: 76% Rehberg · Market: -841 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (42%)
Max Hans Rehberg and Saba Purtseladze meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Thursday. Max Hans Rehberg comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Saba Purtseladze comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Max Hans Rehberg is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Rehberg around 76%. Purtseladze needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
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