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Montreal Predictions & Picks — August 13, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 13, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Thursday's card at Montreal, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ben Shelton against Learner Tien in the semifinal. Our calls: Shelton over Tien.

Ben Shelton vs. Learner Tien

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Ben Shelton was our 58% pick, and won 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Shelton

Win probability: 58% Shelton · Market: -175 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Ben Shelton goes up against Learner Tien in the Montreal semifinal. Ben Shelton is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Learner Tien brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Shelton's 74.5% behind the first serve (against 68% for Tien) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Shelton comes in off a compressed schedule; Tien comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shelton is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Aug 12, 2026, 11:31 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.