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Cincinnati Predictions & Picks — August 21, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 21, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Friday's card at Cincinnati, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Madison Keys against Sara Bejlek in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Keys over Bejlek.

Madison Keys vs. Sara Bejlek

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Madison Keys at 60%, but Sara Bejlek won 3-6 6-4 7-6.

Pick: Keys

Win probability: 60% Keys · Market: -184 · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Madison Keys goes up against Sara Bejlek in the Cincinnati quarterfinal. Madison Keys is 7-3 across recent matches. Sara Bejlek has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Keys's 65.5% behind the first serve (against 57.7% for Bejlek) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Keys fractionally more likely to land the big points.

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Updated Aug 20, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.