4 matches are on Friday's card at Winston-Salem, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Benjamin Bonzi against Ignacio Buse in the semifinal. Our calls: Bonzi over Buse, Marozsan over Duckworth, Fery over Duckworth, Fery over Kovacevic.
Pick: Marozsan
Win probability: 55% Marozsan · Market: -145 · Sets: 2 (60%) · most likely score 2-0 (34%)
Fabian Marozsan and James Duckworth meet in the quarterfinal at Winston-Salem on Friday. Fabian Marozsan has won 6 of the last 10. James Duckworth comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Marozsan fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Fery
Win probability: 57% Fery · Market: -102 · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)
Friday's Winston-Salem quarterfinal pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Arthur Fery on hard. Arthur Fery has won 8 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Kovacevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Bonzi
Win probability: 56% Bonzi · Market: -123 · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-1 (28%)
Friday's Winston-Salem semifinal pits Benjamin Bonzi against Ignacio Buse on hard. Benjamin Bonzi brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Ignacio Buse is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule; Buse arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Bonzi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Fery
Win probability: 56% Fery · Market: -135 · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Arthur Fery goes up against James Duckworth in the Winston-Salem semifinal. Arthur Fery is 8-2 across recent matches. James Duckworth has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Fery comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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