Monterrey & Winston-Salem predictions, August 28, 2026: Bonzi vs. Buse, Tauson vs. Parry

Friday's Winston-Salem semifinal pits Benjamin Bonzi against Ignacio Buse on hard. Benjamin Bonzi brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Ignacio Buse is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule; Buse arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Bonzi gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Clara Tauson and Diane Parry meet in the quarterfinal at Monterrey on Friday. Clara Tauson has won 4 of the last 10. Diane Parry has won 6 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Tauson comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tauson is exactly that — a lean.

Friday's Monterrey semifinal pits Ann Li against Diane Parry on hard. Ann Li has won 4 of the last 10. Diane Parry comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Diane Parry has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Ann Li.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Parry comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Li gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Fabian Marozsan and James Duckworth meet in the quarterfinal at Winston-Salem on Friday. Fabian Marozsan has won 6 of the last 10. James Duckworth comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Marozsan fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Arthur Fery goes up against James Duckworth in the Winston-Salem semifinal. Arthur Fery is 8-2 across recent matches. James Duckworth has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Fery comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Friday's Winston-Salem quarterfinal pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Arthur Fery on hard. Arthur Fery has won 8 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Kovacevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elise Mertens goes up against Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Monterrey quarterfinal. Elise Mertens is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Yuliia Starodubtseva is 4-6 across recent matches.

Mertens's 63.4% behind the first serve (against 58.1% for Starodubtseva) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Mertens should have enough here, though Starodubtseva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.