7 matches are on Friday's card at Monterrey and Winston-Salem, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ann Li against Diane Parry in the semifinal. Our calls: Li over Parry, Bonzi over Buse, Tauson over Parry, Marozsan over Duckworth, Fery over Duckworth, Fery over Kovacevic, and 1 more.
August 27, 2026 results: 2-5 → how our picks graded, match by match.
Pick: Li
Win probability: 52% Li · Market: -152 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Friday's Monterrey semifinal pits Ann Li against Diane Parry on hard. Ann Li has won 4 of the last 10. Diane Parry comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Diane Parry has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Ann Li.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Parry comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Li gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Bonzi
Win probability: 56% Bonzi · Market: -123 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (28%)
Friday's Winston-Salem semifinal pits Benjamin Bonzi against Ignacio Buse on hard. Benjamin Bonzi brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Ignacio Buse is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
Benjamin Bonzi is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bonzi around 56%. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule; Buse arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Bonzi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Tauson
Win probability: 50% Tauson · Market: -150 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (30%)
Clara Tauson and Diane Parry meet in the quarterfinal at Monterrey on Friday. Clara Tauson has won 4 of the last 10. Diane Parry has won 6 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Tauson comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tauson is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Marozsan
Win probability: 55% Marozsan · Market: -145 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Fabian Marozsan and James Duckworth meet in the quarterfinal at Winston-Salem on Friday. Fabian Marozsan has won 6 of the last 10. James Duckworth comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Marozsan fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Fery
Win probability: 56% Fery · Market: -135 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Arthur Fery goes up against James Duckworth in the Winston-Salem semifinal. Arthur Fery is 8-2 across recent matches. James Duckworth has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Fery comes in off a compressed schedule; Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Fery
Win probability: 57% Fery · Market: -102 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Friday's Winston-Salem quarterfinal pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Arthur Fery on hard. Arthur Fery has won 8 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Arthur Fery simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kovacevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Fery gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Mertens
Win probability: 71% Mertens · Market: -202 · We call it in 2 sets (66%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (49%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elise Mertens goes up against Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Monterrey quarterfinal. Elise Mertens is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Yuliia Starodubtseva is 4-6 across recent matches.
Mertens's 63.4% behind the first serve (against 58.1% for Starodubtseva) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Mertens should have enough here, though Starodubtseva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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