2 matches are on Friday's card at Como, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Juan Pablo Varillas against Thiago Seyboth Wild in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Wild over Varillas, Clarke over Ajdukovic.
Pick: Wild
Win probability: 56% Wild · Market: -229 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Juan Pablo Varillas goes up against Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Como quarterfinal. Thiago Seyboth Wild is 8-2 across recent matches. Juan Pablo Varillas is 8-2 across recent matches.
Thiago Seyboth Wild is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Wild around 56%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Wild is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Clarke
Win probability: 53% Clarke · Market: -144 · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-1 (27%)
Duje Ajdukovic and Jay Clarke meet in the quarterfinal at Como on Friday. Jay Clarke is 5-5 across recent matches. Duje Ajdukovic is 4-6 across recent matches.
Jay Clarke simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Ajdukovic comes in off a compressed schedule; Clarke comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Clarke is exactly that — a lean.
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