One match is on Saturday's card at Como, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jay Clarke against Juan Pablo Varillas in the semifinal. Our calls: Varillas over Clarke.
Pick: Varillas
Win probability: 56% Varillas · Market: -108 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)
Saturday's Como semifinal pits Jay Clarke against Juan Pablo Varillas on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas is 8-2 across recent matches. Jay Clarke has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Clarke comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Varillas is exactly that — a lean.
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