US Open predictions, September 5, 2026: Keys vs. Zheng, Blockx vs. Cobolli

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Madison Keys goes up against Qinwen Zheng in the US Open round of 32. Madison Keys has won 6 of the last 10. Qinwen Zheng is 4-6 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Keys fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Flavio Cobolli in the US Open round of 32. Flavio Cobolli has won 6 of the last 10. Alexander Blockx has won 5 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cobolli is exactly that — a lean.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Anna Kalinskaya against Elina Svitolina on hard. Elina Svitolina has won 7 of the last 10. Anna Kalinskaya is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Elina Svitolina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Svitolina around 61%. The edge belongs to Svitolina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Ben Shelton goes up against Denis Shapovalov in the US Open round of 32. Ben Shelton comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Denis Shapovalov comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shelton.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Francisco Cerundolo goes up against Taylor Fritz in the US Open round of 32. Taylor Fritz has won 8 of the last 10. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Fritz has been winning 74.6% of first-serve points to Cerundolo's 66.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Fritz.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Zizou Bergs on hard. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 7 of the last 10. Zizou Bergs comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Botic Van De Zandschulp is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zandschulp around 51%. Little separates them; Zandschulp gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Arthur Gea against Michael Zheng on hard. Arthur Gea has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Michael Zheng comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Gea.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Benjamin Bonzi goes up against Karen Khachanov in the US Open round of 32. Karen Khachanov has won 4 of the last 10. Benjamin Bonzi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Khachanov gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Elise Mertens and Naomi Osaka meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Saturday. Naomi Osaka is 7-3 across recent matches. Elise Mertens brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Osaka has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Mertens's 63.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Osaka fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Alexandra Eala and Iva Jovic meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Saturday. Alexandra Eala comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Iva Jovic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Iva Jovic leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Eala — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Mirra Andreeva and Nikola Bartunkova meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Saturday. Mirra Andreeva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Nikola Bartunkova comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Mirra Andreeva simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Andreeva.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Iga Swiatek against Marie Bouzkova on hard. Iga Swiatek comes in at 9 wins from the last ten. Marie Bouzkova brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Iga Swiatek simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Swiatek win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Amanda Anisimova and Anastasia Potapova meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Saturday. Amanda Anisimova has won 7 of the last 10. Anastasia Potapova is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Potapova needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Coco Gauff against Cristina Bucsa on hard. Coco Gauff brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Cristina Bucsa comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.8% versus 58.8% on first-serve points in Gauff's favor. Bucsa needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Dane Sweeny against Luciano Darderi on hard. Luciano Darderi has won 6 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 5 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.9% versus 66.2% on first-serve points in Darderi's favor. Anything other than a Darderi win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.