4 matches are on Monday's card at Genova, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Laslo Djere against Marco Cecchinato in the round of 32. Our calls: Djere over Cecchinato, Sakellaridis over Poljicak, Feldbausch over Piraino, Ajdukovic over Romano.
Pick: Feldbausch
Win probability: 59% Feldbausch · Market: -366 · Sets: 2 (58%) · most likely score 2-0 (35%)
Gabriele Piraino and Kilian Feldbausch meet in the round of 32 at Genova on Monday. Kilian Feldbausch has won 5 of the last 10. Gabriele Piraino comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Kilian Feldbausch simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Feldbausch gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Ajdukovic
Win probability: 53% Ajdukovic · Market: +113 · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (27%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Duje Ajdukovic goes up against Filippo Romano in the Genova round of 32. Duje Ajdukovic is 4-6 across recent matches. Filippo Romano comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Ajdukovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Djere
Win probability: 56% Djere · Market: -145 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
Laslo Djere and Marco Cecchinato meet in the round of 32 at Genova on Monday. Laslo Djere is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Marco Cecchinato has won 5 of the last 10.
Djere's 72.3% behind the first serve (against 67.2% for Cecchinato) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Djere fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Sakellaridis
Win probability: 52% Sakellaridis · Market: -146 · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (26%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Mili Poljicak goes up against Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Genova round of 32. Stefanos Sakellaridis comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Mili Poljicak limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sakellaridis is exactly that — a lean.
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