3 matches are on Monday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Arthur Gea against Botic Van De Zandschulp in the round of 16. Our calls: Gea over Zandschulp, Blockx over Cerundolo, Tien over Khachanov.
The boldest call on the card: Gea over Zandschulp — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Tien
Win probability: 61% Tien · Market: -167 · Sets: 4+ (64%) · most likely score 3-0 (23%)
Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien meet in the round of 16 at US Open on Monday. Learner Tien comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Karen Khachanov is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Tien — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Blockx
Win probability: 55% Blockx · Market: -147 · Sets: 4+ (74%) · most likely score 3-1 (21%)
Monday's US Open round of 16 pits Alexander Blockx against Francisco Cerundolo on hard. Alexander Blockx comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10.
Blockx's 74.8% behind the first serve (against 66.8% for Cerundolo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Blockx is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: GeaUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Zandschulp the favorite; our numbers say Gea.
Win probability: 54% Gea · Market: +146 · Sets: 4+ (74%) · most likely score 3-1 (21%)
Monday's US Open round of 16 pits Arthur Gea against Botic Van De Zandschulp on hard. Arthur Gea is rolling — 7 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 7 of the last 10.
Arthur Gea simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gea is exactly that — a lean.
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