2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Istanbul, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Francesco Maestrelli against Juan Pablo Ficovich in the round of 32. Our calls: Maestrelli over Ficovich, Boitan over Hernandez.
Pick: Maestrelli
Win probability: 57% Maestrelli · Market: -197 · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-1 (29%)
Francesco Maestrelli and Juan Pablo Ficovich meet in the round of 32 at Istanbul on Tuesday. Francesco Maestrelli comes in at 1 wins from the last ten. Juan Pablo Ficovich is searching for form, having lost 8 in a row (1 of the last 10).
Francesco Maestrelli is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Maestrelli around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Maestrelli fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Boitan
Win probability: 61% Boitan · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (34%)
Tuesday's Istanbul round of 32 pits Alex Hernandez against Gabi Adrian Boitan on hard. Gabi Adrian Boitan is 5-5 across recent matches. Alex Hernandez has dropped 7 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 69.7% versus 63.7% on first-serve points in Boitan's favor. Boitan should have enough here, though Hernandez has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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