2 matches are on Tuesday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Aryna Sabalenka against Linda Noskova in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Sabalenka over Noskova, Pegula over Navarro.
Pick: Pegula
Win probability: 77% Pegula · Market: -309 · Sets: 2 (67%) · most likely score 2-0 (54%)
Tuesday's US Open quarterfinal pits Emma Navarro against Jessica Pegula on hard. Jessica Pegula brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Emma Navarro brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.
Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Pegula win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Pick: Sabalenka
Win probability: 68% Sabalenka · Market: -220 · Sets: 2 (64%) · most likely score 2-0 (46%)
Tuesday's US Open quarterfinal pits Aryna Sabalenka against Linda Noskova on hard. Aryna Sabalenka brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Linda Noskova brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.
Aryna Sabalenka simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Sabalenka — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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