A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Omar Jasika goes up against Rio Noguchi in the Shanghai round of 16. Rio Noguchi is 5-5 across recent matches. Omar Jasika comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Jasika arrives with very little recovery time. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Noguchi.