2 matches are on Wednesday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Coco Gauff against Mirra Andreeva in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Gauff over Andreeva, Rybakina over Zheng.
Pick: Rybakina
Win probability: 73% Rybakina · Market: -245 · Sets: 2 (66%) · most likely score 2-0 (51%)
Wednesday's US Open quarterfinal pits Elena Rybakina against Qinwen Zheng on hard. Elena Rybakina is rolling — 8 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Qinwen Zheng is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
Elena Rybakina simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Rybakina win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Pick: Gauff
Win probability: 56% Gauff · Market: -172 · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)
Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva meet in the quarterfinal at US Open on Wednesday. Coco Gauff brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Mirra Andreeva brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Coco Gauff is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gauff around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gauff fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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