3 matches are on Thursday's card at Seville, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Calvin Hemery against Dusan Lajovic in the round of 16. Our calls: Lajovic over Hemery, Rocha over Taverna, Olivieri over Pereira.
Pick: Olivieri
Win probability: 67% Olivieri · Market: -123 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
Genaro Alberto Olivieri and T. Pereira meet in the round of 16 at Seville on Thursday. Genaro Alberto Olivieri is 4-6 across recent matches. T. Pereira is 6-4 across recent matches.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Olivieri around 67%. The edge belongs to Olivieri — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Rocha
Win probability: 68% Rocha · Market: -738 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
Henrique Rocha and Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna meet in the round of 16 at Seville on Thursday. Henrique Rocha has won 5 of the last 10. Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Henrique Rocha is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Rocha around 68%. The edge belongs to Rocha — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Lajovic
Win probability: 54% Lajovic · Market: -269 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)
Thursday's Seville round of 16 pits Calvin Hemery against Dusan Lajovic on clay. Dusan Lajovic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Calvin Hemery has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.
Dusan Lajovic is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Lajovic around 54%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Lajovic fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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