One match is on Saturday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Aryna Sabalenka against Elena Rybakina in the final. Our calls: Sabalenka over Rybakina.
Pick: Sabalenka
Win probability: 52% Sabalenka · Market: -131 · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
The US Open title is on the line on Saturday, when Aryna Sabalenka meets Elena Rybakina. Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Elena Rybakina has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sabalenka fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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