3 matches are on Monday's card at Biella, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alejandro Moro Canas against Geoffrey Blancaneaux in the round of 32. Our calls: Canas over Blancaneaux, Clarke over Forejtek, Brunclik over Romano.
Pick: Clarke
Win probability: 56% Clarke · Market: -135 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)
Monday's Biella round of 32 pits Jay Clarke against Jonas Forejtek on clay. Jay Clarke comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Jonas Forejtek is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Jay Clarke simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Clarke fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Canas
Win probability: 60% Canas · Market: -259 · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (30%)
Monday's Biella round of 32 pits Alejandro Moro Canas against Geoffrey Blancaneaux on clay. Alejandro Moro Canas is 6-4 across recent matches. Geoffrey Blancaneaux comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Canas is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Brunclik
Win probability: 56% Brunclik · Market: -128 · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Filippo Romano goes up against Petr Brunclik in the Biella round of 32. Petr Brunclik limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Filippo Romano has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Brunclik fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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