2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Tiburon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Keegan Smith against Mitchell Krueger in the round of 32. Our calls: Smith over Krueger, Blanch over Kozlov.
Pick: Smith
Win probability: 56% Smith · Market: -162 · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
Tuesday's Tiburon round of 32 pits Keegan Smith against Mitchell Krueger on hard. Keegan Smith has won 7 of the last 10. Mitchell Krueger comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Smith is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Blanch
Win probability: 56% Blanch · Market: -186 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (29%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Darwin Blanch goes up against Stefan Kozlov in the Tiburon round of 32. Darwin Blanch limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10. Stefan Kozlov has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Blanch's 70% behind the first serve (against 65.6% for Kozlov) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Blanch is exactly that — a lean.
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