2 matches are on Friday's card at Guangzhou 2, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Pavel Kotov against Rio Noguchi in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Kotov over Noguchi, Sharipov over Ymer.
Pick: Sharipov
Win probability: 63% Sharipov · Market: -201 · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Elias Ymer goes up against Marat Sharipov in the Guangzhou 2 quarterfinal. Marat Sharipov is 7-3 across recent matches. Elias Ymer comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Sharipov's 76.5% behind the first serve (against 69.2% for Ymer) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sharipov.
Pick: Kotov
Win probability: 67% Kotov · Market: -184 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (39%)
Friday's Guangzhou 2 quarterfinal pits Pavel Kotov against Rio Noguchi on hard. Pavel Kotov has won 6 of the last 10. Rio Noguchi has won 7 of the last 10.
Kotov's 70.5% behind the first serve (against 65.3% for Noguchi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Kotov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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