2 matches are on Saturday's card at Tiburon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: J J Wolf against Michael Mmoh in the semifinal. Our calls: Mmoh over Wolf, Zheng over Blanch.
The boldest call on the card: Mmoh over Wolf — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Zheng
Win probability: 70% Zheng · Market: -244 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
Saturday's Tiburon semifinal pits Darwin Blanch against Michael Zheng on hard. Michael Zheng is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Darwin Blanch brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 4-6 across the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Zheng comes in off a compressed schedule. Zheng should have enough here, though Blanch has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: MmohUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Wolf the favorite; our numbers say Mmoh.
Win probability: 57% Mmoh · Market: +135 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
J J Wolf and Michael Mmoh meet in the semifinal at Tiburon on Saturday. Michael Mmoh has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. J J Wolf comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Wolf comes in off a compressed schedule; Mmoh comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mmoh is exactly that — a lean.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.