One match is on Sunday's card at Guangzhou 2, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Marat Sharipov against Pavel Kotov in the final. Our calls: Kotov over Sharipov.
Pick: Kotov
Win probability: 53% Kotov · Market: +103 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)
The Guangzhou 2 title is on the line on Sunday, when Marat Sharipov meets Pavel Kotov. Pavel Kotov is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Marat Sharipov is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Sharipov comes in off a compressed schedule; Kotov arrives with very little recovery time. Little separates them; Kotov gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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