2 matches are on Wednesday's card at Hangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Aleksandar Vukic against Kyrian Jacquet in the round of 32. Our calls: Jacquet over Vukic, Walton over Royer.
Pick: Jacquet
Win probability: 51% Jacquet · Market: +105 · We call it in 3 sets (49%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (26%)
Wednesday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Aleksandar Vukic against Kyrian Jacquet on hard. Kyrian Jacquet is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (2 of the last 10). Aleksandar Vukic limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jacquet is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Walton
Win probability: 51% Walton · Market: -107 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (30%)
Wednesday's Hangzhou round of 32 pits Adam Walton against Valentin Royer on hard. Adam Walton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Valentin Royer has won 6 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.8% versus 26.2% on first-serve points in Walton's favor. Little separates them; Walton gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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