One match is on Thursday's card at Genova 2 (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alberto Caniato Carlo against Tom Gentzsch in the round of 16. Our calls: Gentzsch over Carlo.
Pick: Gentzsch
Win probability: 57% Gentzsch · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Alberto Caniato Carlo and Tom Gentzsch meet in the round of 16 at Genova 2 (Italy) on Thursday. Tom Gentzsch has won 7 of the last 10. Alberto Caniato Carlo brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Carlo comes in off a compressed schedule; Gentzsch comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gentzsch fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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