2 matches are on Thursday's card at Seoul, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jelena Ostapenko against Taylah Preston in the round of 16. Our calls: Ostapenko over Preston, Bondar over Charaeva.
Pick: Bondar
Win probability: 54% Bondar · Market: -173 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Thursday's Seoul round of 16 pits Alina Charaeva against Anna Bondar on hard. Anna Bondar is 5-5 across recent matches. Alina Charaeva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bondar is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Ostapenko
Win probability: 54% Ostapenko · Market: -237 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Jelena Ostapenko and Taylah Preston meet in the round of 16 at Seoul on Thursday. Jelena Ostapenko is 6-4 across recent matches. Taylah Preston comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Ostapenko's 64.9% behind the first serve (against 59.4% for Preston) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ostapenko fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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