3 matches are on Friday's card at Singapore, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Leylah Fernandez against Mirra Andreeva in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Andreeva over Fernandez, Sakkari over Gibson, Mertens over Chwalinska.
Pick: Andreeva
Win probability: 68% Andreeva · Market: -303 · We call it in 2 sets (68%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (49%)
Leylah Fernandez and Mirra Andreeva meet in the quarterfinal at Singapore on Friday. Mirra Andreeva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Leylah Fernandez is 6-4 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Mertens
Win probability: 64% Mertens · Market: -189 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)
Elise Mertens and Maja Chwalinska meet in the quarterfinal at Singapore on Friday. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Maja Chwalinska has won 4 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Maja Chwalinska, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Elise Mertens.
The serve is where this match separates: Mertens has been winning 63.5% of first-serve points to Chwalinska's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mertens.
Pick: Sakkari
Win probability: 64% Sakkari · Market: -194 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (42%)
Friday's Singapore quarterfinal pits Maria Sakkari against Talia Gibson on hard. Maria Sakkari has won 6 of the last 10. Talia Gibson has won 3 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Sakkari — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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