Tennis predictions, September 25, 2026: Fernandez vs Andreeva, Jacquet vs Etcheverry

Leylah Fernandez and Mirra Andreeva meet in the quarterfinal at Singapore on Friday. Mirra Andreeva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Leylah Fernandez is 6-4 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Andreeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Kyrian Jacquet goes up against Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Hangzhou round of 16. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is 5-5 across recent matches. Kyrian Jacquet comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Etcheverry is exactly that — a lean.

Friday's Chengdu round of 16 pits Jenson Brooksby against Lorenzo Sonego on hard. Lorenzo Sonego limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Jenson Brooksby comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Sonego has been winning 72% of first-serve points to Brooksby's 67%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Sonego comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Sonego gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Hugo Gaston and Jaime Faria meet in the round of 16 at Hangzhou on Friday. Jaime Faria comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Hugo Gaston is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Faria's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Faria fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Friday's Hangzhou round of 16 pits Andrey Rublev against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Rinky Hijikata has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.2% versus 68.6% on first-serve points in Rublev's favor. Hijikata comes in off a compressed schedule. Rublev should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Friday's Singapore quarterfinal pits Maria Sakkari against Talia Gibson on hard. Maria Sakkari has won 6 of the last 10. Talia Gibson has won 3 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Sakkari — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Elise Mertens and Maja Chwalinska meet in the quarterfinal at Singapore on Friday. Elise Mertens is 6-4 across recent matches. Maja Chwalinska has won 4 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Maja Chwalinska, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Elise Mertens.

The serve is where this match separates: Mertens has been winning 63.5% of first-serve points to Chwalinska's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mertens.

Friday's Chengdu round of 16 pits Adrian Mannarino against Alejandro Tabilo on hard. Alejandro Tabilo limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Adrian Mannarino has won 3 of the last 10.

Alejandro Tabilo simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tabilo.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Denis Shapovalov goes up against Vit Kopriva in the Chengdu round of 16. Denis Shapovalov comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Vit Kopriva is 3-7 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 66.5% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. Shapovalov comes in off a compressed schedule. Shapovalov should have enough here, though Kopriva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Botic Van De Zandschulp and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the round of 16 at Chengdu on Friday. Botic Van De Zandschulp has won 7 of the last 10. Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 5 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Zandschulp has been winning 71.9% of first-serve points to Basilashvili's 68.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Zandschulp should have enough here, though Basilashvili has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Fabian Marozsan goes up against Taro Daniel in the Hangzhou round of 16. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Taro Daniel has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Marozsan comes in off a compressed schedule; Daniel comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Marozsan.