3 matches are on Monday's card at Adana (Turkey), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anna Blinkova against Emiliana Arango in the round of 32. Our calls: Blinkova over Arango, Gasanova over Hruncakova, Jeanjean over Lamens.
Pick: Blinkova
Win probability: 62% Blinkova · Market: -213 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
Anna Blinkova and Emiliana Arango meet in the round of 32 at Adana (Turkey) on Monday. Anna Blinkova is 7-3 across recent matches. Emiliana Arango has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Blinkova has been winning 61.5% of first-serve points to Arango's 57.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Blinkova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Gasanova
Win probability: 56% Gasanova · Market: -208 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Anastasia Gasanova and Viktoria Hruncakova meet in the round of 32 at Adana (Turkey) on Monday. Anastasia Gasanova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Viktoria Hruncakova has won 4 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Gasanova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Jeanjean
Win probability: 55% Jeanjean · Market: -126 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Leolia Jeanjean goes up against Suzan Lamens in the Adana (Turkey) round of 32. Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Suzan Lamens has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jeanjean fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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