Tuesday's Columbus round of 32 pits Abedallah Shelbayh against Li Tu on hard. Abedallah Shelbayh has won 5 of the last 10. Li Tu limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Shelbayh is exactly that — a lean.