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Jingshan Predictions & Picks — September 29, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · September 29, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Jingshan, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Akira Santillan against Luka Pavlovic in the round of 32. Our calls: Pavlovic over Santillan, Sakellaridis over Shimizu.

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Stefanos Sakellaridis at 60% lost to Yuta Shimizu (7-6 6-2).

Pick: Sakellaridis

Win probability: 60% Sakellaridis · Market: -221 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Stefanos Sakellaridis goes up against Yuta Shimizu in the Jingshan round of 32. Stefanos Sakellaridis limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Yuta Shimizu has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Sakellaridis's 71.3% behind the first serve (against 67.7% for Shimizu) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Sakellaridis should have enough here, though Shimizu has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Akira Santillan vs Luka Pavlovic

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Luka Pavlovic, who won 6-2 6-4.

Pick: Pavlovic

Win probability: 59% Pavlovic · Market: -151 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Akira Santillan goes up against Luka Pavlovic in the Jingshan round of 32. Luka Pavlovic has won 6 of the last 10. Akira Santillan comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Pavlovic's 75.5% behind the first serve (against 70.9% for Santillan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pavlovic is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Sep 28, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.