3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Adana (Turkey), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anna Blinkova against Viktoria Hruncakova in the round of 16. Our calls: Blinkova over Hruncakova, Kostovic over Galfi, Stefanini over Buyukakcay.
Pick: Blinkova
Win probability: 67% Blinkova · Market: -438 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (45%)
Wednesday's Adana (Turkey) round of 16 pits Anna Blinkova against Viktoria Hruncakova on hard. Anna Blinkova has won 7 of the last 10. Viktoria Hruncakova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Anna Blinkova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Blinkova.
Pick: Kostovic
Win probability: 55% Kostovic · Market: -142 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Wednesday's Adana (Turkey) round of 16 pits Dalma Galfi against Teodora Kostovic on hard. Teodora Kostovic comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Dalma Galfi has won 4 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Kostovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Stefanini
Win probability: 63% Stefanini · Market: -541 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
Wednesday's Adana (Turkey) round of 16 pits Cagla Buyukakcay against Lucrezia Stefanini on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Cagla Buyukakcay is 3-7 across recent matches.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Buyukakcay comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Stefanini — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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