Tokyo & Beijing predictions, September 30, 2026: Blockx vs Vacherot, Djokovic vs Borges

Alexander Blockx and Valentin Vacherot meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Alexander Blockx is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Valentin Vacherot has won 4 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Blockx fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Novak Djokovic and Nuno Borges meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Wednesday. Novak Djokovic limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Nuno Borges comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Novak Djokovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Djokovic should have enough here, though Borges has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Wednesday's Beijing round of 32 pits Felix Auger Aliassime against Karen Khachanov on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime is 7-3 across recent matches. Karen Khachanov comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Aliassime has been winning 75.5% of first-serve points to Khachanov's 72%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Aliassime fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Wednesday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Arthur Fils against Luca Van Assche on hard. Arthur Fils has won 8 of the last 10. Luca Van Assche comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Fils has been winning 74% of first-serve points to Assche's 66.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Fils should have enough here, though Assche has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Tommy Paul in the Tokyo round of 32. Tommy Paul comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Paul — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Wednesday's Beijing round of 32 pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Y. Bu on hard. Y. Bu comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.

Bu's 71.7% behind the first serve (against 67.4% for Cerundolo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Bu gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Talia Gibson meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Talia Gibson is 5-5 across recent matches. Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 3 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 64.4% versus 60.5% on first-serve points in Gibson's favor. Little separates them; Gibson gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Anhelina Kalinina against Janice Tjen on hard. Anhelina Kalinina comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Janice Tjen has won 4 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Kalinina gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Alina Korneeva against Viktorija Golubic on hard. Alina Korneeva has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall. Viktorija Golubic is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Korneeva has been winning 63.8% of first-serve points to Golubic's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Korneeva is exactly that — a lean.

Matteo Arnaldi and Rei Sakamoto meet in the round of 32 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Rei Sakamoto is 5-5 across recent matches. Matteo Arnaldi limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Sakamoto's 73.7% behind the first serve (against 70.1% for Arnaldi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Sakamoto gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Jan Lennard Struff goes up against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Beijing round of 32. Thiago Agustin Tirante is 7-3 across recent matches. Jan Lennard Struff is 5-5 across recent matches.

Thiago Agustin Tirante is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tirante around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tirante is exactly that — a lean.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Lilli Tagger on hard. Lilli Tagger comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Elena Gabriela Ruse comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tagger is exactly that — a lean.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Caty Mcnally against Dayana Yastremska on hard. Caty Mcnally comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Dayana Yastremska is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10).

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Mcnally fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Maddison Inglis goes up against Zeynep Sonmez in the Beijing first round. Zeynep Sonmez comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Maddison Inglis is 5-5 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sonmez fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tamara Korpatsch and Taylah Preston meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Taylah Preston is 7-3 across recent matches. Tamara Korpatsch is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Preston.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Oleksandra Oliynykova goes up against Yue Yuan in the Beijing first round. Yue Yuan limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Oleksandra Oliynykova comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Yuan has been winning 61.9% of first-serve points to Oliynykova's 57.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Yuan is exactly that — a lean.

Wednesday's Beijing round of 32 pits Arthur Gea against Zhizhen Zhang on hard. Arthur Gea is 8-2 across recent matches. Zhizhen Zhang limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

Arthur Gea is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gea around 75%. Anything other than a Gea win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Darja Vidmanova against Maria Timofeeva on hard. Maria Timofeeva brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Darja Vidmanova has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Timofeeva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Maya Joint goes up against Sinja Kraus in the Beijing first round. Maya Joint has won 5 of the last 10. Sinja Kraus is 4-6 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Joint should have enough here, though Kraus has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Elsa Jacquemot goes up against Magdalena Frech in the Beijing first round. Magdalena Frech comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Elsa Jacquemot has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Frech.

Katie Boulter and Mai Hontama meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Katie Boulter has dropped 2 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Mai Hontama has won 5 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.5% versus 58.3% on first-serve points in Boulter's favor. Boulter should have enough here, though Hontama has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Anna Bondar goes up against Renata Zarazua in the Beijing first round. Anna Bondar is 5-5 across recent matches. Renata Zarazua limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

Bondar's 64.4% behind the first serve (against 57.2% for Zarazua) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bondar.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Daria Snigur against Katarzyna Kawa on hard. Daria Snigur limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Katarzyna Kawa is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 60.9% versus 57.5% on first-serve points in Snigur's favor. Snigur should have enough here, though Kawa has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Magdalena Frech goes up against Petra Marcinko in the Beijing first round. Magdalena Frech has won 5 of the last 10. Petra Marcinko has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Magdalena Frech is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Frech around 61%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Frech.

Wednesday's Beijing first round pits Elvina Kalieva against Viktorija Golubic on hard. Viktorija Golubic limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Elvina Kalieva is searching for form, having lost 6 in a row (1 of the last 10).

Viktorija Golubic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Golubic around 67%. The edge belongs to Golubic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Mayar Sherif and Polina Kudermetova meet in the first round at Beijing on Wednesday. Polina Kudermetova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Mayar Sherif has dropped 2 straight and sits at 8-2 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 64.8% versus 58.6% on first-serve points in Kudermetova's favor. Little separates them; Kudermetova gets the nod on the finest of margins.