3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Mouilleron-Le-Captif, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gauthier Onclin against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the round of 16. Our calls: Wayenburg over Onclin, Bertola over Poullain, Tabur over Faurel.
Pick: Bertola
Win probability: 51% Bertola · Market: -139 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (26%)
Wednesday's Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 16 pits Lucas Poullain against Remy Bertola on hard. Remy Bertola comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Lucas Poullain comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Bertola's 69.7% behind the first serve (against 62.7% for Poullain) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Poullain comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bertola fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Tabur
Win probability: 65% Tabur · Market: -236 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Clement Tabur and Thomas Faurel meet in the round of 16 at Mouilleron-Le-Captif on Wednesday. Clement Tabur has won 4 of the last 10. Thomas Faurel has won 3 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 68.3% versus 63.2% on first-serve points in Tabur's favor. Tabur should have enough here, though Faurel has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Wayenburg
Win probability: 58% Wayenburg · Market: -150 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Wednesday's Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 16 pits Gauthier Onclin against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg on hard. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Gauthier Onclin is 5-5 across recent matches.
Wayenburg's 69.8% behind the first serve (against 64.7% for Onclin) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Wayenburg gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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