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Porto Predictions & Picks — October 3, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 3, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Saturday's card at Porto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Henrique Rocha against Jerome Kym in the semifinal. Our calls: Kym over Rocha, Torre over Sanchis.

Henrique Rocha vs Jerome Kym

Not gradedThis match ended in a walkover, advancing Henrique Rocha. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: Kym

Win probability: 50% Kym · Market: +141 · We call it in 3 sets (52%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (27%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Henrique Rocha goes up against Jerome Kym in the Porto semifinal. Jerome Kym is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Henrique Rocha has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

Kym's 74.8% behind the first serve (against 67% for Rocha) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Rocha comes in off a compressed schedule; Kym comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kym is exactly that — a lean.

David Jorda Sanchis vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Inaki Montes-De La Torre at 61% before the match, and Inaki Montes-De La Torre won 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Torre

Win probability: 61% Torre · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)

David Jorda Sanchis and Inaki Montes-De La Torre meet in the semifinal at Porto on Saturday. Inaki Montes-De La Torre is 5-5 across recent matches. David Jorda Sanchis is 4-6 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Sanchis comes in off a compressed schedule; Torre comes in off a compressed schedule. Torre should have enough here, though Sanchis has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

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Updated Oct 3, 2026, 12:04 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.