2 matches are on Monday's card at Antofagasta, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gonzalo Villanueva against Nick Hardt in the round of 32. Our calls: Villanueva over Hardt, Olivieri over Aboian.
Pick: Villanueva
Win probability: 52% Villanueva · Market: -116 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (27%)
Monday's Antofagasta round of 32 pits Gonzalo Villanueva against Nick Hardt on clay. Gonzalo Villanueva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Nick Hardt has won 5 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Villanueva fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Olivieri
Win probability: 55% Olivieri · Market: -156 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (27%)
Monday's Antofagasta round of 32 pits Genaro Alberto Olivieri against Valerio Aboian on clay. Genaro Alberto Olivieri has won 4 of the last 10. Valerio Aboian comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Olivieri is exactly that — a lean.
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