The Beijing title is on the line on Tuesday, when Alex De Minaur meets Novak Djokovic. Novak Djokovic has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Alex De Minaur has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Djokovic around 64%. Djokovic should have enough here, though Minaur has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.