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Beijing Predictions & Picks — October 6, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 6, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Tuesday's card at Beijing, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alex De Minaur against Novak Djokovic in the final. Our calls: Djokovic over Minaur.

Alex De Minaur vs Novak Djokovic

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Novak Djokovic. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: Djokovic

Win probability: 64% Djokovic · Market: -166 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (43%)

The Beijing title is on the line on Tuesday, when Alex De Minaur meets Novak Djokovic. Novak Djokovic has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Alex De Minaur has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Djokovic around 64%. Djokovic should have enough here, though Minaur has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

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Updated Oct 5, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.