One match is on Tuesday's card at Tokyo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Carlos Alcaraz against Jiri Lehecka in the final. Our calls: Alcaraz over Lehecka.
Pick: Alcaraz
Win probability: 73% Alcaraz · Market: -296 · We call it in 2 sets (66%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (51%)
It all comes down to Tuesday at Tokyo, where Carlos Alcaraz faces Jiri Lehecka for the trophy. Carlos Alcaraz brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Jiri Lehecka has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule; Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
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