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Wuning 3 (China) Predictions & Picks — October 6, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 6, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Tuesday's card at Wuning 3 (China), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alibek Kachmazov against Charles Broom in the round of 32. Our calls: Kachmazov over Broom, Smith over Moriya, Imamura over Uchida.

Hiroki Moriya vs Keegan Smith

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Keegan Smith at 66%, but Hiroki Moriya won 3-6 7-6 6-3.

Pick: Smith

Win probability: 66% Smith · Market: -214 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Hiroki Moriya goes up against Keegan Smith in the Wuning 3 (China) round of 32. Keegan Smith comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Hiroki Moriya limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 70.1% versus 63.3% on first-serve points in Smith's favor. Smith should have enough here, though Moriya has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Kaichi Uchida vs Masamichi Imamura

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Masamichi Imamura at 56%, but Kaichi Uchida won 7-6 6-2.

Pick: Imamura

Win probability: 56% Imamura · Market: -163 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

Tuesday's Wuning 3 (China) round of 32 pits Kaichi Uchida against Masamichi Imamura on hard. Masamichi Imamura is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Kaichi Uchida is searching for form, having lost 10 in a row (0 of the last 10).

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Imamura is exactly that — a lean.

Alibek Kachmazov vs Charles Broom

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Alibek Kachmazov was our 52% pick, and won 4-6 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Kachmazov

Win probability: 52% Kachmazov · Market: +104 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (27%)

Alibek Kachmazov and Charles Broom meet in the round of 32 at Wuning 3 (China) on Tuesday. Alibek Kachmazov has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Charles Broom has won 5 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Kachmazov gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Oct 5, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.