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Palermo (Italy) Predictions & Picks — October 8, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 8, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Thursday's card at Palermo (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alberto Caniato Carlo against Francesco Passaro in the round of 16. Our calls: Carlo over Passaro, Valle over Piraino, Giustino over Jover.

Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Lorenzo Giustino at 63%, but Carlos Sanchez Jover won 2-6 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Giustino

Win probability: 63% Giustino · Market: -119 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)

Thursday's Palermo (Italy) round of 16 pits Carlos Sanchez Jover against Lorenzo Giustino on clay. Lorenzo Giustino has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Carlos Sanchez Jover is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 67.8% versus 59.4% on first-serve points in Giustino's favor. Jover comes in off a compressed schedule; Giustino arrives with very little recovery time. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Giustino.

Alberto Caniato Carlo vs Francesco Passaro

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Alberto Caniato Carlo at 51% lost to Francesco Passaro (4-6 6-3 6-4).

Pick: Carlo

Win probability: 51% Carlo · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (27%)

Thursday's Palermo (Italy) round of 16 pits Alberto Caniato Carlo against Francesco Passaro on clay. Alberto Caniato Carlo is rolling — 5 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Francesco Passaro is 3-7 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Carlo fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Enrico Dalla Valle vs Gabriele Piraino

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 59% on Enrico Dalla Valle, who won 6-4 6-3.

Pick: Valle

Win probability: 59% Valle · Market: -179 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)

Thursday's Palermo (Italy) round of 16 pits Enrico Dalla Valle against Gabriele Piraino on clay. Enrico Dalla Valle has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Gabriele Piraino is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 65.5% versus 62.3% on first-serve points in Valle's favor. Little separates them; Valle gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Oct 8, 2026, 1:31 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.