3 matches are on Tuesday's card at Rovereto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anouk Koevermans against Erika Andreeva in the round of 32. Our calls: Koevermans over Andreeva, Selekhmeteva over Boskovic, Kostovic over Radivojevic.
The boldest call on the card: Koevermans over Andreeva — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: Selekhmeteva
Win probability: 63% Selekhmeteva · Market: -247 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lea Boskovic goes up against Oksana Selekhmeteva in the Rovereto round of 32. Oksana Selekhmeteva comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Lea Boskovic is 4-6 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 60.7% versus 57.7% on first-serve points in Selekhmeteva's favor. Selekhmeteva should have enough here, though Boskovic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Kostovic
Win probability: 57% Kostovic · Market: -252 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Lola Radivojevic and Teodora Kostovic meet in the round of 32 at Rovereto on Tuesday. Teodora Kostovic has won 3 of the last 10. Lola Radivojevic has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Kostovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: KoevermansUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Andreeva the favorite; our numbers say Koevermans.
Win probability: 55% Koevermans · Market: +147 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Anouk Koevermans goes up against Erika Andreeva in the Rovereto round of 32. Anouk Koevermans has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Erika Andreeva has dropped 3 straight and sits at 1-9 over the last ten.
Anouk Koevermans simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Koevermans is exactly that — a lean.
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