Wuhan & Shanghai predictions, October 13, 2026: Gea vs Mensik, Fokina vs Hurkacz

Tuesday's Shanghai round of 16 pits Arthur Gea against Jakub Mensik on hard. Jakub Mensik comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Arthur Gea has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

The serve is where this match separates: Mensik has been winning 76.6% of first-serve points to Gea's 67.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Mensik gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Hubert Hurkacz meet in the round of 16 at Shanghai on Tuesday. Hubert Hurkacz has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 7-3 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Fokina's 67.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Hurkacz gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Shanghai round of 16 pits Alex De Minaur against Karen Khachanov on hard. Alex De Minaur brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Karen Khachanov is 8-2 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Minaur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Alexander Bublik and Alexander Zverev meet in the round of 16 at Shanghai on Tuesday. Alexander Zverev has won 8 of the last 10. Alexander Bublik has won 6 of the last 10.

Alexander Zverev is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zverev around 72%. Anything other than a Zverev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ann Li goes up against Qinwen Zheng in the Wuhan round of 64. Qinwen Zheng brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Ann Li has won 6 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Zheng has been winning 72.5% of first-serve points to Li's 65.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Zheng should have enough here, though Li has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Liudmila Samsonova has won 5 of the last 10. Katerina Siniakova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Samsonova has been winning 68.7% of first-serve points to Siniakova's 61.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Samsonova is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daria Snigur goes up against Elise Mertens in the Wuhan round of 64. Elise Mertens has won 7 of the last 10. Daria Snigur has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Mertens gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Maria Sakkari goes up against Marta Kostyuk in the Wuhan round of 32. Marta Kostyuk is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Maria Sakkari has won 5 of the last 10.

Marta Kostyuk simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Sakkari comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kostyuk.

Diana Shnaider and Katie Boulter meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Diana Shnaider has won 6 of the last 10. Katie Boulter is 3-7 across recent matches.

Diana Shnaider simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Shnaider — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Ann Li and Camila Osorio meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Ann Li is 6-4 across recent matches. Camila Osorio comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Li has been winning 65.3% of first-serve points to Osorio's 61.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Li fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Katie Volynets goes up against Kimberly Birrell in the Wuhan round of 64. Kimberly Birrell has won 7 of the last 10. Katie Volynets is 7-3 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Birrell has been winning 64.5% of first-serve points to Volynets's 57%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Birrell fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Belinda Bencic against Shuai Zhang on hard. Belinda Bencic has won 7 of the last 10. Shuai Zhang has won 4 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 66.3% versus 59.7% on first-serve points in Bencic's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Bencic.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daria Kasatkina goes up against Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Daria Kasatkina limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Ostapenko's 64.9% behind the first serve (against 59.1% for Kasatkina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Ostapenko gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Anna Kalinskaya goes up against Shuai Zhang in the Wuhan round of 64. Anna Kalinskaya has won 7 of the last 10. Shuai Zhang is 4-6 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Kalinskaya has been winning 63.4% of first-serve points to Zhang's 59.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Kalinskaya should have enough here, though Zhang has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Ashlyn Krueger and Shuai Zhang meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Ashlyn Krueger is 5-5 across recent matches. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Krueger has been winning 63.7% of first-serve points to Zhang's 59.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Krueger gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lilli Tagger goes up against Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan round of 64. Nikola Bartunkova is 7-3 across recent matches. Lilli Tagger limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 68.8% versus 65.7% on first-serve points in Bartunkova's favor. Bartunkova should have enough here, though Tagger has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Cristina Bucsa and Dayana Yastremska meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Cristina Bucsa is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10). Dayana Yastremska has won 4 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Bucsa gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Wuhan round of 64 pits Yulia Putintseva against Zeynep Sonmez on hard. Yulia Putintseva comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Zeynep Sonmez is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Yulia Putintseva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Putintseva around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Putintseva fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Maja Chwalinska and Mayar Sherif meet in the round of 64 at Wuhan on Tuesday. Maja Chwalinska is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Mayar Sherif has dropped 2 straight and sits at 8-2 over the last ten.

Maja Chwalinska simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Chwalinska gets the nod on the finest of margins.