3 matches are on Thursday's card at Rovereto, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Antonia Ruzic against Bianca Andreescu in the round of 16. Our calls: Andreescu over Ruzic, Salkova over Hruncakova, Koevermans over Boskovic.
Pick: Salkova
Win probability: 51% Salkova · Market: -130 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (30%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Dominika Salkova goes up against Viktoria Hruncakova in the Rovereto round of 16. Dominika Salkova has won 4 of the last 10. Viktoria Hruncakova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Dominika Salkova is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Salkova around 51%. Little separates them; Salkova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Koevermans
Win probability: 63% Koevermans · Market: -135 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Thursday's Rovereto round of 16 pits Anouk Koevermans against Lea Boskovic on clay. Anouk Koevermans is 6-4 across recent matches. Lea Boskovic has won 5 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Koevermans has been winning 61.9% of first-serve points to Boskovic's 58.2%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Koevermans.
Pick: Andreescu
Win probability: 64% Andreescu · Market: -176 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Antonia Ruzic goes up against Bianca Andreescu in the Rovereto round of 16. Bianca Andreescu comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Antonia Ruzic has won 3 of the last 10.
Bianca Andreescu is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Andreescu around 64%. Andreescu should have enough here, though Ruzic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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