One match is on Sunday's card at Jinan, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Martin Landaluce against Mattia Bellucci in the final. Our calls: Bellucci over Landaluce.
Pick: Bellucci
Win probability: 58% Bellucci · Market: -142 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
The Jinan title is on the line on Sunday, when Martin Landaluce meets Mattia Bellucci. Mattia Bellucci has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall. Martin Landaluce has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall.
Mattia Bellucci simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Landaluce comes in off a compressed schedule; Bellucci comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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