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Wuhan & Shanghai predictions, October 18, 2026: Fokina vs Jodar, Chwalinska vs Kartal

By The Maiden Desk · October 18, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Sunday's card at Wuhan and Shanghai, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Rafael Jodar in the final. Our calls: Jodar over Fokina, Kartal over Chwalinska.

October 17, 2026 results: 6-5 → how our picks graded, match by match.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Rafael Jodar; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Jodar

Win probability: 54% Jodar · Market: -124 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)

It all comes down to Sunday at Shanghai, where Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Rafael Jodar for the trophy. Rafael Jodar is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Fokina comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jodar is exactly that — a lean.

Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 57% on Sonay Kartal; Maja Chwalinska won 2-6 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Kartal

Win probability: 57% Kartal · Market: -103 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)

Sunday brings the Wuhan final: Maja Chwalinska against Sonay Kartal. Sonay Kartal brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Maja Chwalinska is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Hold strength tells the story — 63.3% versus 58.6% on first-serve points in Kartal's favor. Chwalinska comes in off a compressed schedule; Kartal comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kartal is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

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